BoerneTogether Position Statement: Growth policies and supporting ordinances should originate from citizen desires for growth, not private financial interests of developers and others.
- If Boerne's Current inventory of annexed lots buuilds out in the next 10 yrs, it will have a 5% compounded growth rate
- If you add Esperanza, that rate is 9% compounded over 10 years.
- From BISD perspective, with above development and possible county developments in the works, the BISD could experience 10% compounded growth rate in next 10 yrs.
FACT: 2646 lots/houses are developable in the City of Boerne if no further annexations or other agreements occur. Using the 2.7 person/home multiplier used by the Boerne Independent School District, this equates to 7,144 people; 73% Growth assuming 10,000 current residents; over 5% compounded/year for next 10 years. Healthy growth rate!
FACT: If one considers Esperanza’a additional 2480 homes and 6,696 residents, that totals 13,840 new neighbors; 9% growth compounded/year over the next 10 years!
FACT: The trend is clear, there is significant growth stress both inside the City of Boerne and elsewhere in the County.
FACT: The notion of “NO GROWTH” is impossible in the City of Boerne and Kendall County. Our growth rate is healthy.
OPINION: “NO GROWTHERS” is a pejorative descriptor used by some influential people in Boerne’s business community to describe others of different opinion. It introduces divisiveness where there should be good honest public debate in Boerne’s politic. It just ain’t right.
Let’s consider how many new residences could be built if all properties currently annexed and residentially zoned in COB were built out.
According to a map provided by City Staff to City Councilpersons on April 10, 2007 titled: “Developments Approved 2005-2007” (and adding the 200 units approved for the Isabella Ranch property), the number of currently annexed, developable properties:
English Oaks 50
Village at Stone Creek 128
Cibolo Terraces 150
Woodland Apts 125
Woods at Frederick Creek 234
Menger Springs 171
Christianson 37
Miller Tract 954
Trails of Herff Falls 572
Village Park Townhouses 25
Upper Balcones Rd property 200
TOTAL = 2646
2646 lots/houses are developable in the City of Boerne if no further annexations or other agreements occur. Using the 2.7 person/home multiplier used by the Boerne Independent School District, this equates to 7144 people; 73% Growth (over 5% compounded/year for next 10 years).
If one considers Esperanza’a additional 2480 homes and 6,696 residents, that totals 13,840 new neighbors; 9% growth compounded/year over the next 10 years!
Since Kendall Creek Estates’ build out/occupancy status is not clearly known, I did not include them.
Boerne Independent School District boundaries roughly parallels Kendall County boundaries (except part of Fair Oaks in BISD, not KC). BISD includes the City of Boerne. According to BISD January 2007 data, about 3058 units are currently available to build in the District. They did not include the 950 units in the Miller Tract, which is already annexed/zoned. I have. Again, assuming 2.7 people per house, this equates to 10,821 new folks. These are properties currently available to build within the School District.
BISD data also estimates some potential developments including Lerin Hills, Esperanza, and Hwy 46 Herff Centex for an additional 9754 houses (I subtracted the Miller Tract from this group since it is already annexed/zoned). If such growth occurs, the District population grows by about 34,000 people and 9000 students. Include Esperanza and you have an additional 6696 people and 1736 students, totaling 10,736 students. With current enrollment at about 6500, this represents greater that 10% compounded growth in student population over the next 10 years. This rate of growth would necessitate back-to-back bond elections to fund schools. Of course, this assumes that most of the developments on the drawing boards in Kendall County come to fruition. The trend is clear however, there is a healthy rate of growth both inside the City of Boerne and elsewhere in the County. FACT
Mark Mason
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